Where Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree

Cross-platform price divergence on prediction markets. When institutional money and crypto-native traders see different odds.

Active Divergences
4
Avg Gap
22.3%
Avg Duration
2.1d
Kalshi Right
0%

Active Divergences

MarketCategoryPoly YESKalshi YESGapDirectionStatus
trump resign termpolitics52.5%21.5%31.0%Poly higheropen
trump 25th amendmentpolitics52.5%29.0%23.5%Poly higheropen
ukraine ceasefire 2027geopolitical25.5%7.1%18.4%Poly higheropen
trump impeachpolitics52.5%69.0%16.5%Kalshi higheropen

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Resolved Divergences — Who Was Right?

MarketPeak GapWho Was RightResolved
trump 2028 president0.0%PendingApr 22